Mamelodi Sundowns vs AmaZulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
8º
1º
33
1º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
100% | 0% |
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
CAF Confederation Cup
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mamelodi Sundowns
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
SUN
2 - 1
GOL
52%
26%
23%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 1
SUN
21%
28%
51%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
SSU
2 - 1
SUN
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SUN
2 - 0
SSU
54%
23%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SUN
3 - 0
SFC
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AmaZulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AMA
1 - 2
CHI
54%
27%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CHI
0 - 0
AMA
39%
29%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MPU
1 - 2
AMA
51%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
AMA
0 - 1
GOL
43%
29%
29%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SWA
2 - 3
AMA
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |