Malvern Town vs Boldmere St. Michaels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
62.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malvern Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 2
MAL
74%
15%
11%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
WOL
7 - 0
MAL
22%
20%
58%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | -3 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
KIN
3 - 0
MAL
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 2
ROC
34%
23%
44%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
MAL
0 - 5
SPO
21%
21%
58%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Boldmere St. Michaels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
BOL
2 - 2
MAL
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
BOL
0 - 3
CHA
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2017 |
BOL
5 - 0
WOL
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
WOL
2 - 2
BOL
17%
19%
65%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
COV
0 - 2
BOL
56%
20%
24%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |