Malta U21 vs Wales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
61.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malta U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2010 |
MLT
0 - 3
UKR
12%
20%
68%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
BEL
1 - 0
MLT
82%
12%
5%
|
35 | 66 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
SVN
1 - 0
MLT
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
MLT
0 - 2
FRA
8%
18%
74%
|
36 | 81 | 45 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
MLT
0 - 1
BEL
14%
21%
66%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2010 |
AUT
1 - 0
WLS
50%
23%
27%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2009 |
BIH
2 - 1
WLS
31%
24%
45%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
WLS
2 - 0
BIH
63%
21%
17%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
WLS
2 - 1
ITA
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
WLS
4 - 1
HUN
45%
25%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |