Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Malmö FF vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
HAL
1 - 3
MFF
16%
21%
62%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SWA
4 - 0
MFF
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
GEF
2 - 0
MFF
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
HIB
0 - 7
MFF
25%
23%
52%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
MFF
2 - 0
HIB
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
SWA
4 - 0
MFF
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
REA
0 - 3
SWA
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
ADO
0 - 1
SWA
28%
26%
47%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2013 |
HAA
0 - 10
SWA
18%
22%
60%
|
84 | 51 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
EXC
1 - 5
SWA
12%
21%
68%
|
84 | 46 | 38 | 0 |