Mali vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1997 |
MLI
6 - 1
GNQ
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
GIN
0 - 0
MLI
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1997 |
SEN
1 - 2
MLI
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
MLI
3 - 0
MUS
73%
19%
9%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 1997 |
MLI
3 - 1
MUS
71%
19%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1997 |
GIN
3 - 0
SLE
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1997 |
SLE
2 - 1
GNQ
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
GHA
0 - 2
SLE
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 1997 |
SLE
0 - 1
MAR
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1997 |
SLE
1 - 1
GHA
30%
27%
44%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |