Mali vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
22%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1981 |
MLI
2 - 0
MTN
75%
14%
11%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1980 |
MLI
4 - 0
TOG
67%
17%
16%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
MLI
1 - 2
TOG
70%
16%
14%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
SRB
1 - 1
MLI
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1980 |
MLI
4 - 2
GNB
83%
11%
6%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1981 |
GUI
1 - 1
GAM
68%
17%
15%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1980 |
GUI
1 - 0
LBR
81%
12%
8%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1980 |
LBR
0 - 0
GUI
34%
23%
44%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
GUI
2 - 1
COD
57%
20%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 1980 |
LSO
1 - 1
GUI
29%
22%
49%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |