Mali vs Chad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18%
2-0
19.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
23.4%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.2%
3.5%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
KSA
1 - 3
MLI
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
MLI
1 - 0
UGA
65%
22%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
MLI
4 - 0
SSD
87%
11%
3%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CGO
0 - 2
MLI
18%
26%
56%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
GAM
1 - 0
MLI
19%
25%
55%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Chad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
SDN
1 - 0
CHA
65%
21%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
COD
5 - 0
CHA
81%
14%
5%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 2
COD
12%
20%
69%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
GAM
2 - 2
CHA
71%
20%
9%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CHA
0 - 1
GAM
16%
22%
63%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |