4ª Catalana Grupo 5 round 27

Malgrat B vs Sant Ponç B analysis

Malgrat B Sant Ponç B
7 ELO 9
7.9% Tilt 10.2%
16345º General ELO ranking 16355º
5507º Country ELO ranking 5512º
ELO win probability
45.7%
Malgrat B
20.4%
Draw
33.9%
Sant Ponç B

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
Malgrat B
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
33.9%
Win probability
Sant Ponç B
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
10%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Malgrat B
-74%
-63%
Sant Ponç B

ELO progression

Malgrat B
Sant Ponç B
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Malgrat B
Malgrat B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2025
TOR
Tordera B
2 - 1
Malgrat B
MAL
46%
21%
34%
7 7 0 0
06 Apr. 2025
MAL
Malgrat B
1 - 6
Bonmati A
BMA
9%
13%
78%
7 18 11 0
29 Mar. 2025
RCE
Riudarenes 2005 CE A
3 - 1
Malgrat B
MAL
58%
19%
23%
8 10 2 -1
23 Mar. 2025
MAL
Malgrat B
0 - 3
Fogars de La Selva A
FOG
13%
16%
71%
9 18 9 -1
15 Mar. 2025
BAT
La Batllòria A
5 - 1
Malgrat B
MAL
73%
15%
12%
9 15 6 0

Matches

Sant Ponç B
Sant Ponç B
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Apr. 2025
SAN
Sant Ponç B
0 - 2
Bonmati A
BMA
5%
11%
84%
7 19 12 0
06 Apr. 2025
FOG
Fogars de La Selva A
5 - 0
Sant Ponç B
SAN
81%
12%
7%
7 18 11 0
29 Mar. 2025
SAN
Sant Ponç B
0 - 4
Farners B
FAR
11%
14%
75%
7 14 7 0
22 Mar. 2025
CAG
Cal Aguido B
3 - 0
Sant Ponç B
SAN
89%
8%
3%
7 18 11 0
15 Mar. 2025
SAN
Sant Ponç B
1 - 2
Atletic Club Lloret A
ACL
13%
16%
71%
7 16 9 0