Malgrat vs Aro CE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
42.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
-82%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malgrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 2
MAL
56%
21%
23%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
MAL
1 - 2
LMA
58%
20%
23%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HFV
2 - 4
MAL
23%
21%
57%
|
11 | 6 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
MAL
3 - 2
CAG
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
MAL
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aro CE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
ARO
5 - 1
SAN
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
TOS
1 - 1
ARO
60%
19%
20%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
ARO
4 - 1
TRL
66%
18%
16%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
ANG
1 - 0
ARO
48%
22%
30%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ARO
2 - 0
UGI
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |