Malaka vs At. Marbella Paraíso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1408%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
TEB
0 - 4
MLK
25%
23%
53%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MLK
0 - 1
NSR
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CDC
1 - 4
MLK
45%
24%
31%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NER
1 - 5
MLK
11%
20%
70%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MLK
3 - 2
LAC
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
At. Marbella Paraíso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 2
LAC
13%
17%
70%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
CHU
5 - 1
ATM
67%
19%
15%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CDT
2 - 0
ATM
35%
25%
41%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ATM
1 - 0
CDU
38%
24%
38%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
ATL
2 - 1
ATM
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | -1 |