Málaga vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
GEN
1 - 1
MAL
40%
25%
35%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
MAL
3 - 0
GEN
62%
21%
17%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 2
MAL
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
MAL
0 - 2
VCF
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
DEP
2 - 2
MAL
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
WIL
2 - 0
KRS
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
KRS
3 - 1
WIL
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
STG
1 - 1
WIL
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
WIL
1 - 0
STG
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2002 |
WIL
0 - 0
FEY
37%
24%
38%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |