Málaga vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
49.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAL
57%
24%
19%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
MAL
0 - 0
ATH
35%
27%
39%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
ATM
4 - 0
MAL
74%
17%
9%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
MAL
2 - 1
CDT
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
G74
0 - 0
MAL
20%
27%
54%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
VCF
1 - 0
OSA
64%
22%
15%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 1
VCF
18%
26%
56%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ALM
2 - 2
VCF
30%
27%
44%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
VCF
3 - 0
MLL
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
RMA
4 - 2
VCF
74%
15%
11%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |