Málaga vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1996 |
CDM
1 - 0
MAL
27%
28%
45%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
CAD
5 - 1
MAL
31%
30%
39%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -2 |
| 27 Nov. 1996 |
SEV
0 - 0
MAL
80%
14%
7%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1996 |
MAL
2 - 3
CCF
68%
21%
12%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
GAL
0 - 0
MAL
26%
29%
46%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1996 |
RJA
1 - 0
CAD
45%
27%
28%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1996 |
CCF
1 - 0
RJA
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1996 |
RJA
2 - 0
GAL
57%
25%
18%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1996 |
SEV
1 - 2
RJA
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1996 |
RJA
1 - 0
UDS
55%
25%
21%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | +1 |