Málaga vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
14%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
CPC
3 - 4
MAL
10%
23%
67%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 0
MAL
41%
26%
33%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2012 |
MAL
1 - 0
ACM
42%
25%
33%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 1
VAD
67%
20%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ATM
2 - 1
MAL
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
UDL
1 - 0
RAY
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
RAY
0 - 5
FCB
6%
15%
79%
|
79 | 98 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ESP
3 - 2
RAY
56%
22%
22%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
RAY
2 - 1
DEP
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
VAD
6 - 1
RAY
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |