Málaga vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
24.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
RAY
2 - 0
MAL
43%
25%
32%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 4
RMA
10%
18%
73%
|
83 | 96 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
LEV
3 - 0
MAL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2011 |
RJA
1 - 1
MAL
10%
22%
69%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAL
0 - 2
VCF
36%
26%
38%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
1 - 0
BET
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 1
ESP
47%
27%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
RAY
0 - 1
ESP
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 4
RMA
10%
18%
73%
|
83 | 95 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LEV
3 - 1
ESP
44%
27%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |