Málaga D vs Peña Compadres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.2%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
45.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Málaga D
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
COS
0 - 6
MLG
41%
22%
38%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MLG
1 - 2
CAN
49%
21%
30%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MLG
2 - 2
BAN
27%
21%
53%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BNJ
1 - 3
MLG
36%
22%
42%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MLG
4 - 1
BNM
42%
22%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Peña Compadres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 0
COS
79%
12%
9%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CAN
2 - 0
PEN
27%
21%
52%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PEN
5 - 0
OSO
81%
11%
8%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
BNJ
81%
11%
8%
|
12 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BNM
2 - 2
PEN
17%
17%
66%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |