Malacateco vs Universidad San Carlos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HER
5 - 0
TOR
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 0
CHI
48%
26%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
COM
3 - 2
TOR
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
3 - 2
CON
44%
26%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
COA
1 - 0
TOR
49%
26%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Universidad San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 3
HAL
49%
25%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
LEO
2 - 0
UNI
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
MUN
56%
24%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VEN
1 - 0
UNI
50%
24%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 0
IZT
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |