Malacateco vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
HAL
2 - 1
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 1
CON
45%
26%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 0
TOR
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
TOR
3 - 3
LEO
48%
27%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
LEO
2 - 0
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
MON
35%
24%
42%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
HER
1 - 0
LEO
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 3
HER
51%
24%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
HER
0 - 2
COM
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
COM
0 - 0
HER
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |