Apertura Guatemala Round 4

Malacateco vs Heredia analysis

Malacateco Heredia
65 ELO 64
-2.3% Tilt -12.3%
2874º General ELO ranking 19706º
Country ELO ranking 20º
ELO win probability
46.3%
Malacateco
26%
Draw
27.7%
Heredia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
Malacateco
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.7%
Win probability
Heredia
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Malacateco
Heredia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Malacateco
Malacateco
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Aug. 2013
HAL
Halcones
2 - 1
Malacateco
TOR
55%
24%
21%
64 64 0 0
11 Aug. 2013
TOR
Malacateco
1 - 1
Mictlán
CON
45%
26%
30%
64 64 0 0
04 Aug. 2013
MUN
Municipal
1 - 0
Malacateco
TOR
56%
24%
20%
64 64 0 0
09 Jun. 2013
TOR
Malacateco
3 - 3
Marquense
LEO
48%
27%
25%
63 64 1 +1
06 Jun. 2013
LEO
Marquense
2 - 0
Malacateco
TOR
57%
23%
20%
64 64 0 -1

Matches

Heredia
Heredia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Aug. 2013
HER
Heredia
1 - 0
CF Montréal
MON
35%
24%
42%
65 75 10 0
17 Aug. 2013
HER
Heredia
1 - 0
Marquense
LEO
59%
23%
18%
64 64 0 +1
10 Aug. 2013
UNI
Universidad San Carlos
0 - 3
Heredia
HER
51%
24%
25%
64 64 0 0
04 Aug. 2013
HER
Heredia
0 - 2
Comunicaciones
COM
59%
22%
19%
64 64 0 0
23 Jun. 2013
COM
Comunicaciones
0 - 0
Heredia
HER
50%
25%
25%
63 64 1 +1