Malacateco vs Heredia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Malacateco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UNI
0 - 0
TOR
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
COM
2 - 1
TOR
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
TOR
0 - 0
COM
50%
26%
24%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2012 |
CHI
3 - 0
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
TOR
5 - 0
CHI
48%
26%
26%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Heredia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
HER
2 - 1
LEO
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MUN
3 - 2
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2012 |
HER
1 - 1
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
HER
5 - 1
HAL
53%
24%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2012 |
HAL
3 - 1
HER
53%
24%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |