Mainz 05 vs VFR Kaiserslautern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
TUL
1 - 4
M05
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
M05
1 - 1
TUN
37%
23%
40%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1956 |
M05
1 - 2
WWO
57%
20%
23%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -2 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
M05
1 - 2
BNE
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
EBK
3 - 3
M05
79%
13%
8%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
VFR Kaiserslautern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1956 |
TUN
3 - 1
KAI
90%
7%
3%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1956 |
KAI
2 - 1
TUL
78%
13%
9%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1956 |
KAI
2 - 0
VFR
48%
22%
30%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +5 |
| 18 Mar. 1956 |
SAA
2 - 1
KAI
88%
8%
4%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1956 |
KAI
2 - 3
EBK
51%
21%
29%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |