Mainz 05 vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
36%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 1983 |
M05
0 - 1
STU
21%
21%
58%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
M05
3 - 6
S04
44%
23%
33%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
KOL
1 - 3
M05
82%
11%
7%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
AUG
2 - 0
M05
45%
23%
32%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 1980 |
M05
3 - 2
MTV
76%
13%
12%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1986 |
HOM
1 - 1
S04
47%
25%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
S04
3 - 1
WAL
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1986 |
LEV
4 - 2
S04
58%
22%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 1986 |
S04
2 - 2
LEV
56%
22%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1986 |
BVB
1 - 1
S04
54%
23%
23%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |