Mainz 05 vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
24.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
MON
2 - 3
M05
36%
28%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
M05
0 - 1
HAN
53%
24%
24%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
SCF
1 - 0
M05
38%
26%
36%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
M05
0 - 2
BVB
28%
25%
48%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
AAA
2 - 1
M05
32%
25%
43%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
FCN
1 - 3
KAI
46%
27%
28%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
BYM
3 - 0
FCN
77%
16%
8%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
FCN
3 - 1
KOL
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
BRE
2 - 3
FCN
79%
14%
8%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
ELV
0 - 3
FCN
11%
20%
69%
|
80 | 50 | 30 | 0 |