Bundesliga Round 9

Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg analysis

Mainz 05 FC Augsburg
82 ELO 77
-4.6% Tilt 7.1%
43º General ELO ranking 96º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
53.9%
Mainz 05
24.4%
Draw
21.7%
FC Augsburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
Mainz 05
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
21.7%
Win probability
FC Augsburg
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Mainz 05
FC Augsburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05
Mainz 05
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2011
FCN
Nürnberg
3 - 3
Mainz 05
M05
39%
27%
34%
82 82 0 0
24 Sep. 2011
M05
Mainz 05
1 - 2
B. Dortmund
BVB
25%
25%
50%
83 89 6 -1
17 Sep. 2011
KAI
Kaiserslautern
3 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
39%
26%
35%
83 80 3 0
10 Sep. 2011
M05
Mainz 05
0 - 4
Hoffenheim
HOF
47%
25%
28%
83 82 1 0
28 Aug. 2011
HAN
Hannover 96
1 - 1
Mainz 05
M05
48%
24%
28%
83 83 0 0

Matches

FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2011
BVB
B. Dortmund
4 - 0
FC Augsburg
AUG
67%
20%
12%
77 89 12 0
24 Sep. 2011
AUG
FC Augsburg
0 - 0
Hannover 96
HAN
33%
26%
42%
77 83 6 0
17 Sep. 2011
HER
Hertha BSC
2 - 2
FC Augsburg
AUG
53%
25%
22%
77 82 5 0
09 Sep. 2011
AUG
FC Augsburg
1 - 4
B. Leverkusen
LEV
17%
22%
61%
77 88 11 0
27 Aug. 2011
FCN
Nürnberg
1 - 0
FC Augsburg
AUG
50%
26%
24%
78 81 3 -1