Bundesliga U19 Special Stage - League A Round 1

Mainz 05 U19 vs Wolfsburg U19 analysis

Mainz 05 U19 Wolfsburg U19
35 ELO 24
11.5% Tilt 13.8%
8529º General ELO ranking 8058º
419º Country ELO ranking 393º
ELO win probability
78.2%
Mainz 05 U19
13.1%
Draw
8.6%
Wolfsburg U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.2%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.6%
Win probability
Wolfsburg U19
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05 U19
-1%
-23%
Wolfsburg U19

Points and table prediction

Mainz 05 U19
Their league position
Wolfsburg U19
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
3
12º
20º
17º
9
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
RB Leipzig U19
9
9
0%
Wolfsburg U19
9
9
100%
VfL Bochum U19
9
9
0%
Köln U19
9
9
100%
SC Paderborn U19
7
7
0%
VfB Stuttgart U19
7
7
0%
Bayern München U19
7
7
100%
B. Leverkusen U19
7
7
0%
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen U19
7
7
0%
B. Mönchengladbach U19
10º
6
6
10º
100%
Hoffenheim U19
12º
6
6
11º
100%
Nürnberg U19
11º
6
6
12º
0%
Werder Bremen U19
13º
6
6
13º
0%
 Hamburger SV U19
15º
4
4
14º
0%
B. Dortmund U19
14º
4
4
15º
0%
Fortuna Düsseldorf U19
16º
4
4
16º
0%
Mainz 05 U19
17º
3
3
17º
0%
Energie Cottbus U19
21º
3
3
18º
0%
Heidenheim U19
19º
3
3
19º
0%
Darmstadt 98 U19
20º
3
3
20º
0%
Hertha BSC U19
22º
3
3
21º
0%
Hansa Rostock U19
18º
3
3
22º
0%
Union Berlin U19
24º
1
1
23º
0%
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
23º
1
1
24º
0%
FC Augsburg U19
26º
0
0
25º
0%
MSV Duisburg U19
25º
0
0
26º
0%
Expected probabilities
Mainz 05 U19
Wolfsburg U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U19
Wolfsburg U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Apr. 2023
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
4 - 2
B. Dortmund U19
BOR
28%
21%
51%
33 40 7 0
14 Apr. 2023
KOL
Köln U19
0 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
22%
20%
58%
34 25 9 -1
09 Apr. 2023
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 0
Köln U19
KOL
70%
16%
14%
33 25 8 +1
11 Mar. 2023
EIN
Eintracht Trier U19
0 - 7
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
7%
13%
81%
33 13 20 0
08 Mar. 2023
UNT
Unterhaching U19
0 - 4
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
18%
19%
63%
31 21 10 +2

Matches

Wolfsburg U19
Wolfsburg U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Apr. 2023
HAN
Hannover 96 U19
1 - 4
Wolfsburg U19
WOL
57%
21%
22%
22 25 3 0
05 Apr. 2023
SCV
SC Verl U19
0 - 4
Wolfsburg U19
WOL
28%
21%
51%
21 18 3 +1
01 Apr. 2023
WOL
Wolfsburg U19
1 - 0
SC Paderborn U19
SCP
60%
19%
21%
21 20 1 0
11 Mar. 2023
LEI
RB Leipzig U19
2 - 0
Wolfsburg U19
WOL
66%
18%
16%
22 28 6 -1
03 Mar. 2023
WOL
Wolfsburg U19
2 - 4
Hertha BSC U19
HER
13%
17%
71%
22 38 16 0