A-Junioren Bundesliga Süd/Südwest round 18

Mainz 05 U19 vs VfB Stuttgart U19 analysis

Mainz 05 U19 VfB Stuttgart U19
23 ELO 24
3.4% Tilt 16%
7779º General ELO ranking 5747º
386º Country ELO ranking 277º
ELO win probability
46.5%
Mainz 05 U19
23%
Draw
30.5%
VfB Stuttgart U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
30.5%
Win probability
VfB Stuttgart U19
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05 U19
-14%
+40%
VfB Stuttgart U19

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U19
VfB Stuttgart U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2016
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 3
Heidenheim U19
HEI
85%
10%
5%
25 13 12 0
21 Feb. 2016
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
1 - 6
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
35%
24%
42%
24 21 3 +1
14 Feb. 2016
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
0 - 0
Bayern München U19
BYM
49%
23%
28%
23 24 1 +1
06 Feb. 2016
KAR
Karlsruher SC U19
2 - 5
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
35%
23%
41%
23 20 3 0
06 Dec. 2015
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
3 - 0
Saarbrücken U19
SAA
73%
15%
12%
22 17 5 +1

Matches

VfB Stuttgart U19
VfB Stuttgart U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Feb. 2016
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
1 - 2
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
72%
17%
12%
24 19 5 0
13 Feb. 2016
NUR
Nürnberg U19
1 - 2
VfB Stuttgart U19
STU
36%
24%
40%
24 21 3 0
07 Feb. 2016
DAR
Darmstadt 98 U19
1 - 1
VfB Stuttgart U19
STU
9%
14%
76%
25 11 14 -1
12 Dec. 2015
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
1 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
FRA
53%
21%
26%
24 23 1 +1
05 Dec. 2015
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
1 - 1
Bayern München U19
BYM
60%
20%
20%
24 22 2 0