Mainz 05 Sub 19 vs Nürnberg Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
KAI
1 - 0
MAI
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
MAI
2 - 0
UNT
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MUN
5 - 0
MAI
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
MAI
3 - 2
WAL
78%
13%
8%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
MAI
2 - 4
KAR
60%
20%
20%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nürnberg Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
NUR
2 - 1
STU
43%
24%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FRA
3 - 0
NUR
24%
22%
54%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -3 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
NUR
0 - 1
GRE
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SAA
3 - 4
NUR
20%
21%
59%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NUR
2 - 3
BYM
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |