A-Junioren Bundesliga Süd/Südwest round 20

Mainz 05 U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19 analysis

Mainz 05 U19 Greuther Fürth U19
23 ELO 19
3.4% Tilt 15.1%
7757º General ELO ranking 12822º
384º Country ELO ranking 569º
ELO win probability
63.6%
Mainz 05 U19
19.9%
Draw
16.5%
Greuther Fürth U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.5%
Win probability
Greuther Fürth U19
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05 U19
-14%
+1%
Greuther Fürth U19

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U19
Greuther Fürth U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Mar. 2016
NUR
Nürnberg U19
1 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
32%
23%
45%
24 20 4 0
28 Feb. 2016
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
0 - 0
VfB Stuttgart U19
STU
47%
23%
31%
23 24 1 +1
24 Feb. 2016
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 3
Heidenheim U19
HEI
85%
10%
5%
25 13 12 -2
21 Feb. 2016
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
1 - 6
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
35%
24%
42%
24 21 3 +1
14 Feb. 2016
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
0 - 0
Bayern München U19
BYM
49%
23%
28%
23 24 1 +1

Matches

Greuther Fürth U19
Greuther Fürth U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2016
DAR
Darmstadt 98 U19
0 - 1
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
16%
19%
65%
20 12 8 0
20 Feb. 2016
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
1 - 2
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
72%
17%
12%
19 24 5 +1
13 Feb. 2016
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
2 - 0
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
FRA
34%
23%
44%
18 22 4 +1
06 Feb. 2016
BYM
Bayern München U19
1 - 0
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
75%
15%
10%
19 24 5 -1
12 Dec. 2015
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
0 - 1
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
51%
22%
27%
19 19 0 0