Bundesliga U19 South/South West Round 21

Mainz 05 U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19 analysis

Mainz 05 U19 Greuther Fürth U19
31 ELO 28
10.3% Tilt -2.6%
7902º General ELO ranking 13199º
396º Country ELO ranking 594º
ELO win probability
59.4%
Mainz 05 U19
20.5%
Draw
20%
Greuther Fürth U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
20%
Win probability
Greuther Fürth U19
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05 U19
-10%
+1%
Greuther Fürth U19

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U19
Greuther Fürth U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Mar. 2014
UNT
Unterhaching U19
2 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
27%
24%
48%
33 24 9 0
16 Mar. 2014
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 1
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
63%
19%
18%
33 27 6 0
09 Mar. 2014
FRA
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
3 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
33%
25%
42%
35 28 7 -2
23 Feb. 2014
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 1
FC Augsburg U19
AUG
74%
15%
11%
35 24 11 0
16 Feb. 2014
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
1 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
51%
23%
27%
35 33 2 0

Matches

Greuther Fürth U19
Greuther Fürth U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Mar. 2014
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
1 - 2
Karlsruher SC U19
KAR
53%
22%
25%
28 27 1 0
16 Mar. 2014
AUG
FC Augsburg U19
1 - 0
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
30%
23%
47%
30 24 6 -2
09 Mar. 2014
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
1 - 1
Freiburg U19
FRE
43%
23%
34%
30 31 1 0
22 Feb. 2014
KAI
Kaiserslautern U19
2 - 2
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
40%
25%
36%
30 27 3 0
15 Feb. 2014
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
1 - 1
1860 München U19
MUN
47%
23%
30%
30 31 1 0