Bundesliga U19 South/South West Round 14

Mainz 05 U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19 analysis

Mainz 05 U19 Greuther Fürth U19
34 ELO 30
20.5% Tilt 5.6%
8240º General ELO ranking 14191º
409º Country ELO ranking 626º
ELO win probability
65.1%
Mainz 05 U19
18.4%
Draw
16.5%
Greuther Fürth U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.1%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
16.5%
Win probability
Greuther Fürth U19
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05 U19
-6%
-21%
Greuther Fürth U19

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U19
Greuther Fürth U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Dec. 2011
BYM
Bayern München U19
0 - 2
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
54%
22%
24%
34 34 0 0
27 Nov. 2011
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
3 - 2
Hoffenheim U19
HOF
66%
18%
16%
33 28 5 +1
19 Nov. 2011
FRE
Freiburg U19
1 - 1
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
71%
17%
12%
33 43 10 0
06 Nov. 2011
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
3 - 2
Nürnberg U19
NUR
39%
23%
38%
31 36 5 +2
29 Oct. 2011
KAI
Kaiserslautern U19
1 - 0
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
50%
23%
27%
33 34 1 -2

Matches

Greuther Fürth U19
Greuther Fürth U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2011
STU
VfB Stuttgart U19
4 - 3
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
68%
18%
15%
30 37 7 0
04 Dec. 2011
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
3 - 1
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
FRA
37%
24%
39%
28 31 3 +2
27 Nov. 2011
KAR
Karlsruher SC U19
1 - 2
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
60%
21%
19%
27 34 7 +1
19 Nov. 2011
SAA
Saarbrücken U19
2 - 2
Greuther Fürth U19
GRE
31%
23%
46%
28 22 6 -1
05 Nov. 2011
GRE
Greuther Fürth U19
1 - 1
Bayern München U19
BYM
32%
24%
44%
27 34 7 +1