Bundesliga U19 South/South West Round 3

Mainz 05 U19 vs Freiburg U19 analysis

Mainz 05 U19 Freiburg U19
26 ELO 43
10% Tilt 7.1%
8137º General ELO ranking 9837º
404º Country ELO ranking 475º
ELO win probability
24.6%
Mainz 05 U19
22.9%
Draw
52.5%
Freiburg U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
Mainz 05 U19
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
52.5%
Win probability
Freiburg U19
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Mainz 05 U19
-14%
-17%
Freiburg U19

ELO progression

Mainz 05 U19
Freiburg U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Mainz 05 U19
Mainz 05 U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2006
HOF
Hoffenheim U19
1 - 2
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
49%
23%
28%
27 27 0 0
20 Aug. 2006
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
2 - 0
Ulm U19
SSU
33%
24%
43%
25 34 9 +2
12 Jun. 2005
BYM
Bayern München U19
4 - 2
Mainz 05 U19
MAI
77%
14%
9%
26 43 17 -1
05 Jun. 2005
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
0 - 4
Kaiserslautern U19
KAI
31%
24%
45%
27 39 12 -1
29 May. 2005
MAI
Mainz 05 U19
1 - 2
Eintracht Frankfurt U19
FRA
50%
23%
28%
28 29 1 -1

Matches

Freiburg U19
Freiburg U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Aug. 2006
SSU
Ulm U19
0 - 2
Freiburg U19
FRE
29%
24%
48%
41 33 8 0
20 Aug. 2006
FRE
Freiburg U19
4 - 0
Reutlingen U19
RTL
84%
11%
5%
41 19 22 0
20 May. 2006
FRE
Freiburg U19
0 - 1
Bayern München U19
BYM
38%
24%
38%
43 48 5 -2
17 May. 2006
BYM
Bayern München U19
2 - 1
Freiburg U19
FRE
59%
21%
20%
44 47 3 -1
14 May. 2006
MUN
1860 München U19
2 - 4
Freiburg U19
FRE
41%
25%
35%
43 39 4 +1