Mainz 05 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
41.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
VFR
0 - 0
MAI
50%
27%
23%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MAI
1 - 0
FSV
25%
27%
49%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
HAL
2 - 0
MAI
57%
24%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
MAI
0 - 2
SGS
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ROS
1 - 1
MAI
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sportfreunde Lotte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 2
MSV
38%
28%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
OSN
3 - 0
SPO
44%
27%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
SPO
6 - 0
PAD
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ZWI
1 - 1
SPO
31%
27%
42%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
KÖL
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |