Maine Road vs Winsford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
66.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maine Road
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BUR
4 - 3
MAI
78%
14%
8%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
MAI
3 - 2
AFC
14%
18%
68%
|
8 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2016 |
NOS
2 - 3
MAI
42%
23%
35%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MAI
3 - 3
NOS
48%
22%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
OSS
3 - 0
MAI
80%
13%
7%
|
8 | 23 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Winsford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2016 |
WIN
1 - 2
WHI
16%
19%
65%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
WHI
3 - 3
WIN
75%
15%
11%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
ALS
1 - 6
WIN
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
STA
1 - 2
WIN
51%
22%
28%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
LOU
1 - 3
WIN
83%
11%
6%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | +1 |