CAF Champions . Last 16
Global 4-1
Maghreb Fes vs Horoya AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maghreb Fes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
MAG
1 - 1
MOG
47%
28%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
JSM
1 - 0
MAG
35%
30%
36%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 1
MAG
47%
25%
28%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
OCK
1 - 1
MAG
41%
30%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAG
1 - 1
FUR
52%
28%
20%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Horoya AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 1
MAG
47%
25%
28%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 0
POR
71%
18%
12%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
HOR
24%
23%
53%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |