Magenta vs Manu Ura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magenta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MAG
5 - 1
LOS
54%
22%
23%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
MAG
3 - 1
HIE
52%
23%
25%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
MAG
1 - 1
AUC
10%
17%
73%
|
30 | 68 | 38 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2010 |
MOU
2 - 3
MAG
34%
25%
41%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
WAI
4 - 1
MAG
87%
10%
4%
|
30 | 68 | 38 | -1 |
Matches
Manu Ura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 5
WAI
8%
15%
77%
|
31 | 69 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 2
AUC
9%
17%
74%
|
31 | 69 | 38 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAG
22%
24%
54%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
WAI
2 - 0
MAN
87%
10%
4%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AUC
5 - 0
MAN
90%
7%
3%
|
30 | 67 | 37 | 0 |