Mageense vs Belford Roxo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
54.8%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+443%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mageense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ADB
0 - 2
MAG
48%
22%
31%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
MAG
6 - 2
CAA
29%
23%
49%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
TIG
1 - 2
MAG
64%
20%
17%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
MAG
2 - 3
ADB
27%
22%
51%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 2
MAG
47%
23%
31%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Belford Roxo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
1 - 0
CEC
44%
22%
35%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2023 |
AME
4 - 0
BEL
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 0
AME
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 44 | 21 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
GOY
4 - 1
BEL
57%
22%
21%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 0
GOY
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +3 |