Magdeburg vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
66.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
BUD
0 - 6
MAG
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAG
1 - 2
NEU
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ZWI
1 - 0
MAG
48%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2014 |
AUE
2 - 1
MAG
27%
25%
49%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
BAK
2 - 1
MAG
27%
25%
49%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LEV
1 - 0
S04
49%
23%
28%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
LEV
2 - 0
ZEN
60%
21%
19%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
STU
3 - 3
LEV
23%
24%
54%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
LEV
2 - 2
PAD
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
LEV
3 - 1
SLB
50%
24%
27%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |