Mafra vs Sertanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
MAF
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MAF
1 - 1
MON
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
MAF
25%
25%
49%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAF
0 - 1
LOU
67%
20%
13%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
FAT
1 - 1
MAF
50%
25%
25%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
CAL
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
EVN
0 - 1
SER
40%
25%
34%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SER
2 - 1
1DE
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
ORI
2 - 0
SER
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SER
0 - 0
TOU
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |