Mafra vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.7%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
39.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
MAF
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
MAF
2 - 2
SPC
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 0
MAF
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
MAF
0 - 4
CAS
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAF
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2021 |
ACA
0 - 1
ARO
46%
26%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
ACA
2 - 1
CHA
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 3
ACA
34%
28%
37%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 1
POR
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 1
ACA
31%
30%
39%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |