Madureira RJ vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
16.5%
77.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.3%
0-2
17.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.6%
0-3
12.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 0
MAD
95%
4%
1%
|
49 | 84 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2000 |
RIV
1 - 1
FLA
11%
20%
69%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
FLA
5 - 0
AME
78%
14%
8%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
FLA
4 - 1
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
SAO
2 - 5
FLA
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2000 |
BOT
2 - 2
FLA
50%
23%
27%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |