Madrepietra Daunia vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
67.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madrepietra Daunia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
OLY
1 - 2
MDC
56%
21%
24%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
NOC
1 - 0
SAR
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
AGR
0 - 5
NOC
28%
25%
46%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
ASC
3 - 0
NOC
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
NOC
0 - 3
SSB
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
LAQ
3 - 0
NOC
55%
26%
20%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |