Madalena vs Caudal Deportivo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
62.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MOS
2 - 0
MAD
59%
21%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAD
1 - 1
COL
36%
23%
41%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PRA
2 - 1
MAD
59%
22%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
MAD
2 - 2
TUI
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
AVI
1 - 0
MAD
48%
24%
28%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Caudal Deportivo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CAU
1 - 1
UDL
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LEN
0 - 1
CAU
24%
24%
52%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
CAU
1 - 5
LEA
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 5
CAU
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAU
2 - 0
GIN
71%
19%
11%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | -1 |