Madagascar vs Côte d'Ivoire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.9%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1%
3-2
0.1%
+1
4.2%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
17.3%
77.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
20%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
26.8%
0-2
19.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.2%
0-3
13.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
GAB
4 - 0
MAD
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
MAD
0 - 2
SWZ
48%
23%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 0
MAD
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
MAD
2 - 0
MUS
44%
24%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
MUS
2 - 0
MAD
46%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Côte d'Ivoire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2007 |
MUS
0 - 3
CIV
6%
18%
77%
|
87 | 54 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
CIV
1 - 0
GUI
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2006 |
SWE
0 - 1
CIV
73%
18%
9%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
CIV
5 - 0
GAB
75%
17%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
CIV
0 - 1
SEN
58%
24%
18%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |