Macieirense vs Arrifanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macieirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
CSJ
0 - 3
MAC
11%
17%
72%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAC
3 - 0
SMA
80%
13%
7%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 1
MAC
54%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
MAN
26%
22%
52%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LOB
1 - 3
MAC
13%
19%
69%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Arrifanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 2
ALV
48%
23%
29%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
CSJ
0 - 4
ARR
10%
17%
74%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
SMA
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SAN
1 - 3
ARR
46%
23%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 2
MAN
37%
23%
40%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |