Machico vs Marítimo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-57%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
1º
11º
9º
17
10º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Machico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
CIN
0 - 2
MAC
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MAC
2 - 0
COI
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ADM
1 - 0
MAC
55%
24%
22%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 1
CAM
37%
23%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
REG
0 - 0
MAC
21%
20%
59%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 3
GFC
51%
22%
28%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SAL
4 - 0
MAR
66%
21%
14%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
1 - 5
UNI
48%
22%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
GON
1 - 1
MAR
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 1
ALP
51%
22%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |