Maceratese vs AS Gubbio 1910 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maceratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
MAN
3 - 1
MAC
24%
26%
51%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 1
FAN
71%
19%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
POR
2 - 1
MAC
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 0
MOD
42%
28%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
0 - 1
PAD
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AS Gubbio 1910
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASG
29%
25%
46%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ASG
0 - 0
ABN
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
PAD
1 - 1
ASG
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
ASG
1 - 0
ACL
64%
21%
15%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ASG
3 - 1
FER
43%
25%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |