Maceda vs Molgas ADF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
43.2%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Maceda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
VIL
3 - 0
MAC
42%
23%
35%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
RAL
1 - 1
MAC
75%
15%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 3
ROC
55%
21%
24%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
BOA
1 - 3
MAC
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
ALL
1 - 1
MAC
47%
22%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Molgas ADF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MOL
2 - 1
ALL
46%
21%
33%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
MOL
2 - 4
SEI
18%
19%
63%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 1
MOL
37%
22%
41%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
MOL
1 - 2
LOB
69%
17%
15%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MOL
2 - 2
MER
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |