Macarthur FC vs Auckland FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+570%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
8º
8º
53
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
53 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
AFC Champions League 2
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SYD
1 - 2
MFC
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
MEL
2 - 1
MFC
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 2
NEW
61%
21%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MFC
6 - 1
PER
59%
21%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 1
MFC
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Auckland FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
WPH
0 - 2
AFC
73%
18%
9%
|
14 | 73 | 59 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 0
SYD
18%
24%
59%
|
12 | 77 | 65 | +2 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 0
BRI
16%
21%
63%
|
10 | 65 | 55 | +2 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
WUF
1 - 2
AFC
84%
11%
5%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
WES
4 - 2
AFC
87%
10%
4%
|
9 | 71 | 62 | 0 |