Macao U23 vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
29.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Macao U23
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BEN
9 - 1
MAC
54%
20%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
MAC
3 - 5
KLM
43%
21%
36%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
CPK
5 - 1
MAC
51%
20%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MAC
1 - 4
MCA
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2016 |
HSA
0 - 2
MAC
28%
21%
52%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PSP
2 - 0
LAI
53%
21%
27%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CHF
0 - 1
PSP
60%
19%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SMA
2 - 1
PSP
57%
21%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
PSP
0 - 3
BEN
35%
21%
44%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
PSP
1 - 8
CPK
41%
22%
37%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |