Macao U23 vs Hong Lok analysis


32	ELO	30
-0.7%	Tilt	-0.6%
28374º	General ELO ranking	35565º
16º	Country ELO ranking	30º
ELO win probability

46.6%

Macao U23

23.9%

Draw

29.5%

Hong Lok

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

46.6%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%

23.9%

Draw

0-0

5.1%

1-1

11.1%

2-2

6%

3-3

1.4%

4-4

0.2%

5-5

<0%

0

23.9%

29.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%