Carioca A2 Second Stage Round 3

Macaé Esporte vs Friburguense analysis

Macaé Esporte Friburguense
40 ELO 41
-5.2% Tilt -0.7%
23918º General ELO ranking 7221º
700º Country ELO ranking 291º
ELO win probability
47.1%
Macaé Esporte
24.9%
Draw
28%
Friburguense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
Macaé Esporte
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28%
Win probability
Friburguense
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Macaé Esporte
Friburguense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Macaé Esporte
Macaé Esporte
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Jun. 2022
VOL
Volta Redonda
4 - 2
Macaé Esporte
MAC
81%
14%
6%
41 61 20 0
22 Jun. 2022
MAC
Macaé Esporte
0 - 0
Artsul FC
AFC
33%
26%
42%
41 48 7 0
16 Jun. 2022
MAC
Macaé Esporte
1 - 2
Volta Redonda
VOL
10%
19%
71%
41 63 22 0
08 Jun. 2022
MAC
Macaé Esporte
3 - 3
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
SAM
31%
27%
42%
40 49 9 +1
01 Jun. 2022
MAC
Macaé Esporte
4 - 0
Angra dos Reis
ANG
53%
25%
22%
39 37 2 +1

Matches

Friburguense
Friburguense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Jun. 2022
FRI
Friburguense
0 - 1
Olaria
OLA
36%
26%
38%
41 45 4 0
22 Jun. 2022
AME
América RJ
0 - 0
Friburguense
FRI
66%
20%
14%
41 50 9 0
01 Jun. 2022
FRI
Friburguense
0 - 0
Petrópolis
PET
36%
25%
39%
41 45 4 0
25 May. 2022
CMA
Maricá
1 - 3
Friburguense
FRI
58%
23%
19%
39 49 10 +2
14 May. 2022
FRI
Friburguense
1 - 3
Sampaio Corrêa RJ
SAM
32%
27%
42%
41 49 8 -2